SPC AC 040047

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0747 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024

   Valid 040100Z - 041200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
   THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected this evening across
   parts of the northern/central High Plains. Isolated very large hail
   and significant severe wind gusts are possible in parts of the High
   Plains.

   ...01z Update...

   Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a well-defined short-wave
   trough over the northern Rockies which is quickly advancing into the
   High Plains. A substantial complex of storms has evolved ahead of
   this feature, and an MCS appears to be maturing over central NE. As
   this complex grows upscale, an MCV may evolve over the next few
   hours within the larger precip shield north of Broken Bow NE.
   Leading edge of this complex is surging east and this convection
   should continue propagating east as the LLJ begins to focus toward
   the MO Valley. Several other bands of robust convection have also
   developed across the central High Plains from portions of western KS
   into eastern CO. This activity, too, will propagate east-southeast
   this evening with an attendant threat for damaging winds, and
   perhaps some very large hail with any supercell structures.
   Although, much of this activity has evolved into a squall line, and
   damaging winds may become the primary risk. Overall, multiple
   clusters of organized convection will progress across the central
   Plains this evening toward the lower MO Valley after midnight.

   ..Darrow.. 07/04/2024

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z